Audace Cerignola x Casertana Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group C
📅 29/9/2024 13:30 |
Audace Cerignola 2.15 |
X 2.90 |
Casertana 3.38 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Audace Cerignola x Casertana:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Audace Cerignola x Casertana
Important information for your tip for Audace Cerignola x Casertana: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Audace Cerignola in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0. |
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Analysis from Audace Cerignola x Casertana for the Italy Serie C Group C – 29 of September
🏟️ Audace Cerignola X Casertana – Italy Serie C Group C |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Audace Cerignola and Casertana.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Audace Cerignola x Casertana
Is it a good idea to bet on Audace Cerignola?
🔵 Audace Cerignola: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $678.50
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$268.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $513.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.00.
Is it worth betting on Casertana?
🔴 Casertana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $309.40;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Audace Cerignola x Casertana
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Audace Cerignola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Audace Cerignola x Casertana
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Audace Cerignola and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Audace Cerignola. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Audace Cerignola x Casertana
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.