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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo Betting tips for November 2 in Chile Primera Division
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 21h00 Chile Primera Division
Audax Italiano Audax Italiano
PREDICTION No tip
Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo
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Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo Betting tips for November 2 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo, Saturday, 2/11/2024
πŸ“… 2/11/2024
21:00
Audax Italiano Audax Italiano
1.76
X
3.60
Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo
4.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo

The main points for the tip for Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Audax Italiano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $182.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportes Copiapo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Deportes Copiapo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Audax Italiano matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Deportes Copiapo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Deportes Copiapo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Deportes Copiapo as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo for the Chile Primera Division – 2 of November

🏟️ Audax Italiano X Deportes Copiapo – Chile Primera Division
πŸ“… 2 of November, 2024 – 21:00
πŸ”΅ Audax Italiano – Winning probability: 66.66% | Fair line: 1.5
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.88% | Fair line: 5.03
πŸ”΄ Deportes Copiapo – Winning probability: 13.47% | Fair line: 7.43
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Audax Italiano
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214258 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo

Is betting on Audax Italiano worth it?

πŸ”΅ Audax Italiano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $509.20;
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$179.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $520.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$280.00.

Should you bet on Deportes Copiapo?

πŸ”΄ Deportes Copiapo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$480.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Audax Italiano
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Audax Italiano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Audax Italiano.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Audax Italiano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Audax Italiano x Deportes Copiapo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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