Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen Betting tips for November 29 in Germany Regionalliga Bayern

Our betting tip for Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen, Friday, 29/11/2024

📅 29/11/2024 18:00

Augsburg II 2.05

X 3.51

Wacker Burghausen 2.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen

Important information for your tip for Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Wacker Burghausen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Wacker Burghausen, Augsburg II scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen, with Augsburg II as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Augsburg II conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Wacker Burghausen conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Augsburg II conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Wacker Burghausen. 👉 Augsburg II has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Wacker Burghausen. 👉 It is not a good time for Wacker Burghausen as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen for the Germany Regionalliga Bayern – 29 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen

Is betting on Augsburg II worth it?

🔵 Augsburg II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $462.00;
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$98.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $627.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$122.50.

Is betting on Wacker Burghausen worth it?

🔴 Wacker Burghausen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $604.50;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$85.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Augsburg II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Augsburg II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Augsburg II.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Augsburg II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Augsburg II x Wacker Burghausen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.