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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Austria x France Betting tips for June 17 in Euro 2024
Monday, 17 June 2024, 19h00 Euro 2024
Austria Austria
PREDICTION France Wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
France France
ODD: @1.54 Don't miss this prediction!

Austria x France Betting tips for June 17 in Euro 2024

Our betting tip for Austria x France, Monday, 17/6/2024
๐Ÿ“… 17/6/2024
19:00
Austria Austria
5.84
X
4.31
France France
1.54

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Austria x France:

๐Ÿ”ฎ France wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on France, you can win up to $770.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Austria x France:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Austria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $205.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Austria scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, France scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 France matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, France conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Austria is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Austria x France?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Austria x France for the Euro 2024 – 17 of June

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Austria X France – Euro 2024
๐Ÿ“… 17 of June, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Austria – Winning probability: 11.62% | Fair line: 8.6
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.71% | Fair line: 17.52
๐Ÿ”ด France – Winning probability: 82.67% | Fair line: 1.21
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Austria
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Austria x France right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1135157 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Austria x France

Should you bet on Austria?

๐Ÿ”ต Austria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $580.80;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$299.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $198.60;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$741.40.

Should you bet on France?

๐Ÿ”ด France: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 830 times – profiting $448.20;
  • And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$278.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Austria x France

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Austria
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Austria x France

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Austria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Austria.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Austria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Austria x France

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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