Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
Predictions
Predictions
Content
Betting Sites
Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Avai x Ituano Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
Avai Avai
PREDICTION No tip
Ituano Ituano
Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Avai x Ituano Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Avai x Ituano, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
20:00
Avai Avai
2.02
X
3.05
Ituano Ituano
3.78

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Avai x Ituano:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Avai x Ituano

Important information for your tip for Avai x Ituano:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ituano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Avai conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Avai x Ituano

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Avai x Ituano?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Avai x Ituano:

Analysis from Avai x Ituano for the Brazil Serie B – 25 of November

🏟️ Avai X Ituano – Brazil Serie B
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Avai – Winning probability: 44.68% | Fair line: 2.24
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.90% | Fair line: 3.13
πŸ”΄ Ituano – Winning probability: 23.42% | Fair line: 4.27
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Avai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Avai x Ituano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Avai x Ituano

Is betting on Avai worth it?

πŸ”΅ Avai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $459.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$91.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $656.00
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$24.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Ituano worth it?

πŸ”΄ Ituano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $639.40;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$130.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Avai x Ituano

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Avai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Avai x Ituano

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Avai, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Avai.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Ituano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Avai x Ituano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves