Avai x Ponte Preta Betting tips for November 22 in Brazil Serie B
| 📅 22/11/2024 23:00 |
 Avai1.75 |
X 3.24 |
Ponte Preta  4.84 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Avai x Ponte Preta:
🔮 Avai wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Avai, you can win up to $875.00!
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The main points for the tip for Avai x Ponte Preta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Avai in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0. |
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Analysis from Avai x Ponte Preta for the Brazil Serie B – 22 of November
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🏟️ Avai X Ponte Preta – Brazil Serie B |
When the best bet on Avai x Ponte Preta is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225887 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Avai x Ponte Preta
Is it worth betting on Avai?
🔵 Avai: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $562.50;
- And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$312.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $380.80;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$449.20.
Should you bet on Ponte Preta?
🔴 Ponte Preta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $307.20;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$612.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Avai x Ponte Preta
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Avai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Avai x Ponte Preta
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Avai, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Avai.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Avai.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Avai x Ponte Preta
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
