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Home » Predictions » Others » Avai x Vila Nova Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie B
Avai Avai
PREDICTION No tip
Vila Nova Vila Nova
Don't miss this prediction!

Avai x Vila Nova Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Avai x Vila Nova, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
00:30
Avai Avai
1.99
X
3.00
Vila Nova Vila Nova
3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Avai x Vila Nova:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Avai x Vila Nova

Important information for your tip for Avai x Vila Nova:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Avai in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-136.0.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Avai x Vila Nova?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Avai x Vila Nova, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Avai x Vila Nova for the Brazil Serie B – 26 of October

🏟️ Avai X Vila Nova – Brazil Serie B
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Avai – Winning probability: 49.79% | Fair line: 2.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.98% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 Vila Nova – Winning probability: 19.23% | Fair line: 5.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Avai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Avai x Vila Nova right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1208023 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Avai x Vila Nova

Is it worth betting on Avai?

🔵 Avai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $495.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$5.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Should you bet on Vila Nova?

🔴 Vila Nova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $551.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$259.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Avai x Vila Nova

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Avai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Avai x Vila Nova

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Avai, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Avai.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Vila Nova.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Avai x Vila Nova

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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