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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Avarta x FA 2000 Betting tips for September 29 in Denmark Division 3
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 08h00 Denmark Division 3
Avarta Avarta
PREDICTION No tip
FA 2000 FA 2000
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Avarta x FA 2000 Betting tips for September 29 in Denmark Division 3

Our betting tip for Avarta x FA 2000, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
08:00
Avarta Avarta
2.87
X
3.50
FA 2000 FA 2000
2.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Avarta x FA 2000:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Avarta x FA 2000

The main points for the tip for Avarta x FA 2000:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avarta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FA 2000 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ FA 2000 did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Avarta scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against FA 2000, Avarta scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 FA 2000 matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Avarta matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Avarta x FA 2000, with Avarta as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Avarta conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, FA 2000 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Avarta conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against FA 2000.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for FA 2000 as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Avarta x FA 2000 for the Denmark Division 3 – 29 of September

🏟️ Avarta X FA 2000 – Denmark Division 3
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 08:00
πŸ”΅ Avarta – Winning probability: 23.10% | Fair line: 4.33
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.45% | Fair line: 3.51
πŸ”΄ FA 2000 – Winning probability: 48.45% | Fair line: 2.06
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Avarta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Avarta and FA 2000.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Avarta x FA 2000

Is betting on Avarta worth it?

πŸ”΅ Avarta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $430.10
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$339.90.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$20.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on FA 2000 worth it?

πŸ”΄ FA 2000: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Avarta x FA 2000

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Avarta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Avarta x FA 2000

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Avarta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Avarta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Avarta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Avarta x FA 2000

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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