Aveley x Welling Betting tips for November 29 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Aveley x Welling, Friday, 29/11/2024

📅 29/11/2024 20:00

Aveley 2.30

X 3.22

Welling 2.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aveley x Welling:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Aveley x Welling

Some important points for the tip for Aveley x Welling: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aveley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $651.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Welling in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $315.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Aveley scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Welling scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Welling matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Welling conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Aveley is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aveley x Welling?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aveley x Welling, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Aveley x Welling for the England National League South – 29 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aveley x Welling right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aveley x Welling

Is it a good idea to bet on Aveley?

🔵 Aveley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$12.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $621.60;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$98.40.

Is betting on Welling worth it?

🔴 Welling: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $486.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aveley x Welling

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Aveley
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aveley x Welling

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Aveley, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Aveley.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Welling.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aveley x Welling

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.