Ayr x Morton Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for Ayr x Morton, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Ayr 1.95

X 3.30

Morton 3.57

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ayr x Morton:

🔮 Ayr wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ayr, you can win up to $975.00!

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The main points for the tip for Ayr x Morton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ayr in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $188.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Morton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Ayr scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Ayr x Morton, with Ayr as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Morton matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Morton conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Analysis from Ayr x Morton for the Scotland FA Cup – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ayr and Morton.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ayr x Morton

Is it worth betting on Ayr?

🔵 Ayr: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $750.50;
• And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$540.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $207.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$703.00.

Should you bet on Morton?

🔴 Morton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $334.10;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$535.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ayr x Morton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ayr
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ayr x Morton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Ayr and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Ayr. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ayr x Morton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.