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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar Betting tips for November 24 in Tanzania Premier League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Tanzania Premier League
Azam FC Azam FC
PREDICTION Azam FC wins Probability 3% 1 X 2
Mtibwa Sugar Mtibwa Sugar
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar Betting tips for November 24 in Tanzania Premier League

Our betting tip for Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
15:30
Azam FC Azam FC
1.37
X
4.12
Mtibwa Sugar Mtibwa Sugar
7.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Azam FC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Azam FC, you can win up to $685.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Azam FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $39.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mtibwa Sugar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Azam FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mtibwa Sugar, Azam FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Azam FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Azam FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Mtibwa Sugar conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Azam FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Mtibwa Sugar playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar for the Tanzania Premier League – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Azam FC X Mtibwa Sugar – Tanzania Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 15:30
๐Ÿ”ต Azam FC – Winning probability: 80.63% | Fair line: 1.24
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.82% | Fair line: 6.32
๐Ÿ”ด Mtibwa Sugar – Winning probability: 3.55% | Fair line: 28.15
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Azam FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Azam FC and Mtibwa Sugar.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar

Is it a good idea to bet on Azam FC?

๐Ÿ”ต Azam FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $299.70
  • And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$109.70.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $499.20;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$340.80.

Should you bet on Mtibwa Sugar?

๐Ÿ”ด Mtibwa Sugar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $256.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$704.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Azam FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Azam FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Azam FC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Azam FC x Mtibwa Sugar

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves