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Home » Predictions » Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04 Betting tips for February 10 in Germany Regionalliga North East
Saturday, 10 February 2024, 12h00 Germany Regionalliga North East
Babelsberg 03 Babelsberg 03
PREDICTION No tip
Greifswalder SV 04 Greifswalder SV 04
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Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04 Betting tips for February 10 in Germany Regionalliga North East

Our betting tip for Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04, Saturday, 10/2/2024
📅 10/2/2024
12:00
Babelsberg 03 Babelsberg 03
2.50
X
3.35
Greifswalder SV 04 Greifswalder SV 04
2.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04

The main points for the tip for Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Babelsberg 03 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Greifswalder SV 04 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-4.0.
👉 Babelsberg 03 did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Babelsberg 03 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Greifswalder SV 04 scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Babelsberg 03 matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Babelsberg 03 is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Greifswalder SV 04 has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04 for the Germany Regionalliga North East – 10 of February

🏟️ Babelsberg 03 X Greifswalder SV 04 – Germany Regionalliga North East
📅 10 of February, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Babelsberg 03 – Winning probability: 32.36% | Fair line: 3.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.63% | Fair line: 3.49
🔴 Greifswalder SV 04 – Winning probability: 39.01% | Fair line: 2.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Babelsberg 03
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1054913 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04

Is it a good idea to bet on Babelsberg 03?

🔵 Babelsberg 03: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $681.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$28.50.

Is betting on Greifswalder SV 04 worth it?

🔴 Greifswalder SV 04: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Babelsberg 03
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Babelsberg 03 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Babelsberg 03.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Greifswalder SV 04.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Babelsberg 03 x Greifswalder SV 04

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves