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Home » Predictions » Others » Bahia (W) x Gremio (W) Betting tips for April 28 in Brazil Serie A1 Women
Tuesday, 28 April 2026, 21h00 Brazil Serie A1 Women
Bahia (W) Bahia (W)
PREDICTION No tip
Gremio (W) Gremio (W)
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Bahia (W) x Gremio (W) Betting tips for April 28 in Brazil Serie A1 Women

Our betting tip for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W), Tuesday, 28/4/2026
📅 28/4/2026
21:00
Bahia (W) Bahia (W)
1.95
X
3.30
Gremio (W) Gremio (W)
3.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W):

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W)

Important information for your tip for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W):

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bahia (W) in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $147.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio (W) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bahia (W) scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Gremio (W), Bahia (W) scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bahia (W) matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bahia (W) conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bahia (W) is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Bahia (W) has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Gremio (W) playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bahia (W) x Gremio (W) for the Brazil Serie A1 Women – 28 of April

🏟️ Bahia (W) X Gremio (W) – Brazil Serie A1 Women
📅 28 of April, 2026 – 21:00
🔵 Bahia (W) – Winning probability: 52.08% | Fair line: 1.92
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.74% | Fair line: 3.88
🔴 Gremio (W) – Winning probability: 22.18% | Fair line: 4.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bahia (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

How the handicap and odds moved for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W)

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W) (1X2, handicap and goals).

📊 The odds for Bahia (W) had a huge Raised of 24.12%: the market opened with odds of @1.571 for Bahia (W) and now the odds are @1.95.
📊 The odds for Draw had a great Decreased of -10.81%: the market opened with odds of @3.7 for Draw and now the odds are @3.3.
📊 The odds for Gremio (W) had a huge Decreased of -30.53%: the market opened with odds of @4.75 for Gremio (W) and now the odds are @3.3.
📊 The market decreased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.75 is now at -0.50 for Bahia (W).
📊 The market expects less goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.75 and now is at 2.50 goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W)

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bahia (W) and Gremio (W).

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1534906 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on Bahia (W)?

🔵 Bahia (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$14.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is betting on Gremio (W) worth it?

🔴 Gremio (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $510.40;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bahia (W) x Gremio (W)

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bahia (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W)

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Bahia (W) and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bahia (W). As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W)

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W)

Who is the favourite for Bahia (W) x Gremio (W)?

According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Bahia (W), with a win probability of 52.08%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!

Who will win: Bahia (W) or Gremio (W)?

Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe Bahia (W) has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 52.08%. If you bet on Bahia (W), do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Bahia (W) beating Gremio (W) today?

Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Bahia (W) would win about 52 of those against Gremio (W).

What are the chances of Gremio (W) beating Bahia (W) today?

From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Gremio (W) would take victory in roughly 22 of them against Bahia (W).

Which team should I bet on: Bahia (W) or Gremio (W)?

We did not identify an obvious positive EV bet for this game. Stay disciplined with bankroll management and avoid risking more than 2% of your funds!

How much is Bahia (W) paying today? See what you can win by betting on Bahia (W) x Gremio (W):

The average odds for Bahia (W) to beat Gremio (W) today are 1.95. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh1950.00 if Bahia (W) wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

How much is Gremio (W) paying today? See what you can win by betting on Bahia (W) x Gremio (W):

The average odds for Gremio (W) to beat Bahia (W) today are 3.32. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh3320.00 if Gremio (W) wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which bookmaker is best for the match Bahia (W) x Gremio (W)?

If you plan to bet on Bahia (W) vs Gremio (W), we suggest using trusted and regulated bookmakers. Here are three operators we recommend:

Remember to bet responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves