Bala Town x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for January 31 in Wales Premier League
π
31/1/2025 19:45 |
![]() 2.15 |
X 3.30 |
Caernarfon Town ![]() 3.05 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town
Important information for your tip for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town: π If you had bet $100 on Caernarfon Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $62.0. |
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Analysis from Bala Town x Caernarfon Town for the Wales Premier League β 31 of January
ποΈ Bala Town X Caernarfon Town β Wales Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1Γ2 market for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town
Should you bet on Bala Town?
π΅ Bala Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times β this would give you a profit of $483.00
- And would lose other 580 times β losing -$580.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$97.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times β having a profit of $644.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times β with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$76.00.
Is it worth betting on Caernarfon Town?
π΄ Caernarfon Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times β this would give you a profit of $594.50
- And would have lost other 710 times β with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$115.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bala Town x Caernarfon Town
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1Γ2: 0.0 Bala Town
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1Γ2 market for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town
β Handicap 1Γ2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Bala Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bala Town.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ2 is on: 0.25 Caernarfon Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.