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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Bala Town x Cardiff MU Betting tips for March 29 in Wales Premier League
Saturday, 29 March 2025, 14h30 Wales Premier League
Bala Town Bala Town
PREDICTION No tip
Cardiff MU Cardiff MU
Don't miss this prediction!

Bala Town x Cardiff MU Betting tips for March 29 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Bala Town x Cardiff MU, Saturday, 29/3/2025
πŸ“… 29/3/2025
14:30
Bala Town Bala Town
2.30
X
3.24
Cardiff MU Cardiff MU
2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bala Town x Cardiff MU:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bala Town x Cardiff MU

Important information for your tip for Bala Town x Cardiff MU:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bala Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-340.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cardiff MU in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Bala Town x Cardiff MU, with Bala Town as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Bala Town conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Cardiff MU.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Bala Town x Cardiff MU?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bala Town x Cardiff MU:

Analysis from Bala Town x Cardiff MU for the Wales Premier League – 29 of March

🏟️ Bala Town X Cardiff MU – Wales Premier League
πŸ“… 29 of March, 2025 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ Bala Town – Winning probability: 44.59% | Fair line: 2.24
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.46% | Fair line: 3.39
πŸ”΄ Cardiff MU – Winning probability: 25.95% | Fair line: 3.85
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 Bala Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bala Town x Cardiff MU is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1290777 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bala Town x Cardiff MU

Should you bet on Bala Town?

πŸ”΅ Bala Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$35.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $649.60;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$60.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cardiff MU?

πŸ”΄ Cardiff MU: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $468.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$272.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bala Town x Cardiff MU

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 Bala Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Bala Town x Cardiff MU

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Bala Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Bala Town.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1Γ—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bala Town x Cardiff MU

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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