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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders Betting tips for November 25 in Northern Ireland Championship
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Northern Ireland Championship
Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
HW Welders HW Welders
ODD: @3.59 Don't miss this prediction!

Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders Betting tips for November 25 in Northern Ireland Championship

Our betting tip for Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades
2.40
X
3.59
HW Welders HW Welders
2.41

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1795.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ballyclare Comrades in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on HW Welders in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ballyclare Comrades scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, HW Welders scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Ballyclare Comrades matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Ballyclare Comrades conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, HW Welders conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ballyclare Comrades has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against HW Welders playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders

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Summary

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Analysis from Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders for the Northern Ireland Championship – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ballyclare Comrades X HW Welders – Northern Ireland Championship
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Ballyclare Comrades – Winning probability: 33.66% | Fair line: 2.97
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.74% | Fair line: 3.25
๐Ÿ”ด HW Welders – Winning probability: 35.60% | Fair line: 2.81
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ballyclare Comrades
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ballyclare Comrades and HW Welders.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders

Is betting on Ballyclare Comrades worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Ballyclare Comrades: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $476.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$184.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $802.90
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$112.90.

Is betting on HW Welders worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด HW Welders: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $507.60;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$132.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ballyclare Comrades
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Ballyclare Comrades, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Ballyclare Comrades.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Ballyclare Comrades.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ballyclare Comrades x HW Welders

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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