Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers Betting tips for November 30 in Northern Ireland Premier

Our betting tip for Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Ballymena Utd 2.00

X 3.39

Carrick Rangers 3.28

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers

Important information for your tip for Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ballymena Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $186.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Carrick Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Carrick Rangers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Carrick Rangers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers, with Ballymena Utd as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Carrick Rangers conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Carrick Rangers has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers for the Northern Ireland Premier – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ballymena Utd and Carrick Rangers.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers

Is it worth betting on Ballymena Utd?

🔵 Ballymena Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $530.00;
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$60.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $621.40;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.60.

Is it worth betting on Carrick Rangers?

🔴 Carrick Rangers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $478.80
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$311.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ballymena Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ballymena Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Ballymena Utd.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Carrick Rangers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ballymena Utd x Carrick Rangers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.