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Home » Predictions » Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves Betting tips for November 25 in Northern Ireland Reserve League
Monday, 25 November 2024, 19h45 Northern Ireland Reserve League
Ballymena Utd Reserves Ballymena Utd Reserves
PREDICTION Ballymena Utd Reserves wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Linfield Reserves Linfield Reserves
ODD: @3.31 Don't miss this prediction!

Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves Betting tips for November 25 in Northern Ireland Reserve League

Our betting tip for Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
19:45
Ballymena Utd Reserves Ballymena Utd Reserves
3.31
X
4.53
Linfield Reserves Linfield Reserves
1.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves:

🔮 Ballymena Utd Reserves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ballymena Utd Reserves, you can win up to $1655.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ballymena Utd Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Linfield Reserves in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Ballymena Utd Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Linfield Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Ballymena Utd Reserves matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Linfield Reserves matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves, with Ballymena Utd Reserves as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Ballymena Utd Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Linfield Reserves conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Ballymena Utd Reserves conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Linfield Reserves.
👉 It is not a good time for Linfield Reserves as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Linfield Reserves won the last 5 head-to-head matches Ballymena Utd Reserves´s territory

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves:

Analysis from Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves for the Northern Ireland Reserve League – 25 of November

🏟️ Ballymena Utd Reserves X Linfield Reserves – Northern Ireland Reserve League
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Ballymena Utd Reserves – Winning probability: 40.90% | Fair line: 2.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.15% | Fair line: 6.6
🔴 Linfield Reserves – Winning probability: 43.95% | Fair line: 2.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Ballymena Utd Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227805 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves

Is betting on Ballymena Utd Reserves worth it?

🔵 Ballymena Utd Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $947.10
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$357.10.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $529.50
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Linfield Reserves?

🔴 Linfield Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $330.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$230.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Ballymena Utd Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Ballymena Utd Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Ballymena Utd Reserves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Linfield Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ballymena Utd Reserves x Linfield Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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