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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow Betting tips for November 25 in Russia Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Russia Premier League
Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad
PREDICTION Spartak Moscow Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
ODD: @2.04 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow Betting tips for November 25 in Russia Premier League

Our betting tip for Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
16:45
Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad
3.35
X
3.35
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
2.04

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Spartak Moscow wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Spartak Moscow, you can win up to $1020.00!

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The main points for the tip for Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Baltika Kaliningrad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $174.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Spartak Moscow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-292.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Baltika Kaliningrad conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Spartak Moscow conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow

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Summary

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Analysis from Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow for the Russia Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Baltika Kaliningrad X Spartak Moscow – Russia Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 16:45
๐Ÿ”ต Baltika Kaliningrad – Winning probability: 15.83% | Fair line: 6.32
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.31% | Fair line: 4.29
๐Ÿ”ด Spartak Moscow – Winning probability: 60.86% | Fair line: 1.64
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Baltika Kaliningrad
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow

Should you bet on Baltika Kaliningrad?

๐Ÿ”ต Baltika Kaliningrad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $376.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$464.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $540.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$229.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Spartak Moscow?

๐Ÿ”ด Spartak Moscow: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $634.40
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$244.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Baltika Kaliningrad
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Baltika Kaliningrad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Baltika Kaliningrad.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Baltika Kaliningrad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Baltika Kaliningrad x Spartak Moscow

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves