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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Banbury x Curzon Ashton Betting tips for November 25 in England National League North
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League North
Banbury Banbury
PREDICTION No tip
Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton
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Banbury x Curzon Ashton Betting tips for November 25 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Banbury x Curzon Ashton, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Banbury Banbury
2.81
X
3.20
Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton
2.28

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Banbury x Curzon Ashton:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Banbury x Curzon Ashton

Important information for your tip for Banbury x Curzon Ashton:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Banbury in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Curzon Ashton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $595.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Banbury conceded at least 2 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Banbury x Curzon Ashton

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Summary

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Analysis from Banbury x Curzon Ashton for the England National League North – 25 of November

🏟️ Banbury X Curzon Ashton – England National League North
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Banbury – Winning probability: 26.53% | Fair line: 3.77
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.66% | Fair line: 3.26
πŸ”΄ Curzon Ashton – Winning probability: 42.81% | Fair line: 2.34
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Banbury
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Banbury x Curzon Ashton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Banbury x Curzon Ashton

Is it a good idea to bet on Banbury?

πŸ”΅ Banbury: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $488.70;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$241.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $682.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Should you bet on Curzon Ashton?

πŸ”΄ Curzon Ashton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $550.40;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$19.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Banbury x Curzon Ashton

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Banbury
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Banbury x Curzon Ashton

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Banbury, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Banbury.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Curzon Ashton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Banbury x Curzon Ashton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves