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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Banjul United x Fortune FC Betting tips for November 24 in Gambia GFA League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Gambia GFA League
Banjul United Banjul United
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 24% 1 X 2
Fortune FC Fortune FC
ODD: @2.75 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Banjul United x Fortune FC Betting tips for November 24 in Gambia GFA League

Our betting tip for Banjul United x Fortune FC, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
16:00
Banjul United Banjul United
2.51
X
2.75
Fortune FC Fortune FC
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Banjul United x Fortune FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1375.00!

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The main points for the tip for Banjul United x Fortune FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortune FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-18.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 Banjul United matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Banjul United x Fortune FC, with Banjul United as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Banjul United x Fortune FC

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Summary

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Analysis from Banjul United x Fortune FC for the Gambia GFA League – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Banjul United X Fortune FC – Gambia GFA League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Banjul United – Winning probability: 36.66% | Fair line: 2.73
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.27% | Fair line: 2.55
๐Ÿ”ด Fortune FC – Winning probability: 24.07% | Fair line: 4.16
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Banjul United
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Banjul United x Fortune FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Banjul United x Fortune FC

Is it worth betting on Banjul United?

๐Ÿ”ต Banjul United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $558.70;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$71.30.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $682.50;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$72.50.

Should you bet on Fortune FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Fortune FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$304.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Banjul United x Fortune FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Banjul United
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Banjul United x Fortune FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Banjul United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Banjul United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Fortune FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Banjul United x Fortune FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves