Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Barcelona x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for December 21 in Spain La Liga
Saturday, 21 December 2024, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Barcelona Barcelona
PREDICTION Barcelona wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Barcelona x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for December 21 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid, Saturday, 21/12/2024
📅 21/12/2024
20:00
Barcelona Barcelona
1.65
X
3.97
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
4.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid:

🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $825.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-13.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $851.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Atletico Madrid, Barcelona scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Atletico Madrid matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Barcelona did not receive any yellow cards in the last 5 matches as the home team.
👉 Barcelona is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 70.00% of possession.
👉 Atletico Madrid is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 6 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Barcelona has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atletico Madrid playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Barcelona x Atletico Madrid?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Barcelona x Atletico Madrid:

Analysis from Barcelona x Atletico Madrid for the Spain La Liga – 21 of December

🏟️ Barcelona X Atletico Madrid – Spain La Liga
📅 21 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Barcelona – Winning probability: 65.08% | Fair line: 1.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.25% | Fair line: 5.19
🔴 Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 15.66% | Fair line: 6.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Barcelona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238688 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid

Is it a good idea to bet on Barcelona?

🔵 Barcelona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – profiting $422.50;
  • And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$72.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $564.30
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$245.70.

Is betting on Atletico Madrid worth it?

🔴 Atletico Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $592.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$248.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona x Atletico Madrid

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Barcelona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Barcelona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Barcelona.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters