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Home » Predictions » Others » Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense Betting tips for December 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 21h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Barcelona Guayaquil Barcelona Guayaquil
PREDICTION Orense Wins Probability 22% 1 X 2
Orense Orense
ODD: @5.75
Bonus 100% up to $500
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Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense Betting tips for December 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
21:30
Barcelona Guayaquil Barcelona Guayaquil
1.48
X
3.86
Orense Orense
5.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense:

🔮 Orense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Orense, you can win up to $2875.00!

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Important information for your tip for Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona Guayaquil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-345.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Orense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Orense did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Barcelona Guayaquil scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense, with Barcelona Guayaquil as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Barcelona Guayaquil has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Orense playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 14 of December

🏟️ Barcelona Guayaquil X Orense – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Barcelona Guayaquil – Winning probability: 60.21% | Fair line: 1.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.15% | Fair line: 5.83
🔴 Orense – Winning probability: 22.64% | Fair line: 4.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Barcelona Guayaquil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452002 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense

Is it worth betting on Barcelona Guayaquil?

🔵 Barcelona Guayaquil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$112.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $486.20;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$343.80.

Should you bet on Orense?

🔴 Orense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $1092.50
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$322.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Barcelona Guayaquil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Barcelona Guayaquil and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Barcelona Guayaquil.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Orense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves