Barcelona x Leganes Betting tips for December 15 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Barcelona x Leganes, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 20:00

Barcelona 1.18

X 7.50

Leganes 14.02

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Barcelona x Leganes:

🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $590.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Barcelona x Leganes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $117.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leganes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-382.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Barcelona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Leganes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Leganes, Barcelona scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Barcelona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Barcelona did not receive any yellow cards in the last 4 matches as the home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Leganes conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Barcelona is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 70.00% of possession. 👉 Barcelona has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Leganes.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Barcelona x Leganes?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Barcelona x Leganes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Barcelona x Leganes for the Spain La Liga – 15 of December

When the best bet on Barcelona x Leganes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236762 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Barcelona x Leganes

Should you bet on Barcelona?

🔵 Barcelona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 98.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $178.20;
• And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$168.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $65.00
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$925.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Leganes?

🔴 Leganes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 14.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona x Leganes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Barcelona
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona x Leganes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Barcelona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Barcelona.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona x Leganes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.