Barracas Central x Belgrano Betting tips for November 21 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Barracas Central x Belgrano, Thursday, 21/11/2024

📅 21/11/2024 20:00

Barracas Central 3.60

X 3.08

Belgrano 2.13

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Barracas Central x Belgrano:

🔮 Belgrano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Belgrano, you can win up to $1065.00!

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The main points for the tip for Barracas Central x Belgrano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barracas Central in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Belgrano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 4 Barracas Central matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Belgrano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Barracas Central conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Belgrano has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Barracas Central x Belgrano for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 21 of November

When the best bet on Barracas Central x Belgrano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225495 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Barracas Central x Belgrano

Is it worth betting on Barracas Central?

🔵 Barracas Central: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $416.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $540.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$199.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Belgrano?

🔴 Belgrano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – profiting $644.10;
• And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$214.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Barracas Central x Belgrano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Barracas Central
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barracas Central x Belgrano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Barracas Central and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Barracas Central.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barracas Central x Belgrano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.