Basconia x Sestao River Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
| 📅 20/12/2025 15:30 |
 Basconia3.90 |
X 3.00 |
Sestao River  1.94 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Basconia x Sestao River:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Basconia x Sestao River
Some important points for the tip for Basconia x Sestao River:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Basconia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sestao River in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 In the last 6 Sestao River matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Basconia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Sestao River has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from Basconia x Sestao River for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 20 of December
🏟️ Basconia X Sestao River – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Basconia – Winning probability: 17.47% | Fair line: 5.72
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.29% | Fair line: 3.41
🔴 Sestao River – Winning probability: 53.23% | Fair line: 1.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Basconia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Basconia and Sestao River.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Basconia x Sestao River
Is it worth betting on Basconia?
🔵 Basconia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $493.00
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$337.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $580.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.00.
Should you bet on Sestao River?
🔴 Sestao River: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $498.20;
- And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$28.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Basconia x Sestao River
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Basconia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Basconia x Sestao River
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Basconia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Basconia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Basconia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Basconia x Sestao River
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
