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Home » Predictions » Others » Basford Utd x Worksop Betting tips for December 28 in England Northern Premier League
Saturday, 28 December 2024, 15h00 England Northern Premier League
Basford Utd Basford Utd
PREDICTION Worksop Wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Worksop Worksop
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Basford Utd x Worksop Betting tips for December 28 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Basford Utd x Worksop, Saturday, 28/12/2024
📅 28/12/2024
15:00
Basford Utd Basford Utd
3.75
X
3.85
Worksop Worksop
1.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Basford Utd x Worksop:

🔮 Worksop wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Worksop, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Basford Utd x Worksop:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Basford Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Worksop in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Basford Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Basford Utd conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Basford Utd x Worksop?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Basford Utd x Worksop:

Analysis from Basford Utd x Worksop for the England Northern Premier League – 28 of December

🏟️ Basford Utd X Worksop – England Northern Premier League
📅 28 of December, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Basford Utd – Winning probability: 11.61% | Fair line: 8.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.11% | Fair line: 5.23
🔴 Worksop – Winning probability: 69.28% | Fair line: 1.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Basford Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Basford Utd and Worksop.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239997 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Basford Utd x Worksop

Is it a good idea to bet on Basford Utd?

🔵 Basford Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $330.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $541.50
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$268.50.

Is it worth betting on Worksop?

🔴 Worksop: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$173.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Basford Utd x Worksop

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Basford Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Basford Utd x Worksop

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Basford Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Basford Utd.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Worksop.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Basford Utd x Worksop

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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