BATE Borisov x FC Smorgon Betting tips for November 28 in Belarus Premier League
| 📅 28/11/2024 15:15 |
 BATE Borisov1.55 |
X 3.88 |
FC Smorgon  5.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for BATE Borisov x FC Smorgon:
🔮 BATE Borisov wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on BATE Borisov, you can win up to $775.00!
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Important information for your tip for BATE Borisov x FC Smorgon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on BATE Borisov in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-73.0. |
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Analysis from BATE Borisov x FC Smorgon for the Belarus Premier League – 28 of November
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🏟️ BATE Borisov X FC Smorgon – Belarus Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for BATE Borisov x FC Smorgon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229024 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for BATE Borisov x FC Smorgon
Should you bet on BATE Borisov?
🔵 BATE Borisov: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $418.00
- And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$178.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $432.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$418.00.
Is it worth betting on FC Smorgon?
🔴 FC Smorgon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$496.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match BATE Borisov x FC Smorgon
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 BATE Borisov
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for BATE Borisov x FC Smorgon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 BATE Borisov, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 BATE Borisov.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for BATE Borisov x FC Smorgon
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
