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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga U19
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Bundesliga U19
Bayer Leverkusen U19 Bayer Leverkusen U19
PREDICTION No tip
Borussia M'gladbach U19 Borussia M'gladbach U19
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Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga U19

Our betting tip for Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
10:00
Bayer Leverkusen U19 Bayer Leverkusen U19
1.67
X
3.90
Borussia Mgladbach U19 Borussia Mgladbach U19
3.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19

The main points for the tip for Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $203.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Borussia Mgladbach U19 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Borussia Mgladbach U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Borussia Mgladbach U19.
πŸ‘‰ Bayer Leverkusen U19 is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19

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Summary

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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19 for the Germany Bundesliga U19 – 25 of November

🏟️ Bayer Leverkusen U19 X Borussia Mgladbach U19 – Germany Bundesliga U19
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Bayer Leverkusen U19 – Winning probability: 46.96% | Fair line: 2.13
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.26% | Fair line: 4.7
πŸ”΄ Borussia Mgladbach U19 – Winning probability: 31.78% | Fair line: 3.15
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bayer Leverkusen U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bayer Leverkusen U19 and Borussia Mgladbach U19.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayer Leverkusen U19?

πŸ”΅ Bayer Leverkusen U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $314.90
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$215.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $609.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$181.00.

Is betting on Borussia Mgladbach U19 worth it?

πŸ”΄ Borussia Mgladbach U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $944.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$264.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bayer Leverkusen U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bayer Leverkusen U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Bayer Leverkusen U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Borussia Mgladbach U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen U19 x Borussia Mgladbach U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves