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Home » Predictions » Others » Beira Mar x AD Machico Betting tips for April 6 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 06 April 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Beira Mar Beira Mar
PREDICTION Beira Mar wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
AD Machico AD Machico
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Beira Mar x AD Machico Betting tips for April 6 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Beira Mar x AD Machico, Sunday, 6/4/2025
📅 6/4/2025
15:00
Beira Mar Beira Mar
1.85
X
3.30
AD Machico AD Machico
3.84

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Beira Mar x AD Machico:

🔮 Beira Mar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Beira Mar, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Beira Mar x AD Machico:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Beira Mar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Machico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 3 Beira Mar matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 AD Machico matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Beira Mar x AD Machico for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 6 of April

🏟️ Beira Mar X AD Machico – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 6 of April, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Beira Mar – Winning probability: 58.89% | Fair line: 1.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.67% | Fair line: 3.75
🔴 AD Machico – Winning probability: 14.43% | Fair line: 6.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Beira Mar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Beira Mar x AD Machico right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1296560 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Beira Mar x AD Machico

Is betting on Beira Mar worth it?

🔵 Beira Mar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $501.50;
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$91.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.00.

Should you bet on AD Machico?

🔴 AD Machico: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $397.60
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$462.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Beira Mar x AD Machico

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Beira Mar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Beira Mar x AD Machico

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Beira Mar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Beira Mar.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Beira Mar x AD Machico

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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