Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad Betting tips for November 30 in Bulgaria Second League

Our betting tip for Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 12:00

Belasitsa 2.49

X 3.25

Pirin Blagoevgrad 2.48

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad

The main points for the tip for Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Belasitsa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pirin Blagoevgrad scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Belasitsa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Pirin Blagoevgrad has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad for the Bulgaria Second League – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Belasitsa and Pirin Blagoevgrad.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad

Is it a good idea to bet on Belasitsa?

🔵 Belasitsa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $506.60;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$153.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Should you bet on Pirin Blagoevgrad?

🔴 Pirin Blagoevgrad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $577.20;
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$32.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Belasitsa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Belasitsa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Belasitsa.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Belasitsa x Pirin Blagoevgrad

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.