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Home » Predictions » Others » Belgrano x Estudiantes LP Betting tips for December 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Monday, 09 December 2024, 22h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
Belgrano Belgrano
PREDICTION Estudiantes LP Wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
ODD: @2.71 Don't miss this prediction!

Belgrano x Estudiantes LP Betting tips for December 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Belgrano x Estudiantes LP, Monday, 9/12/2024
📅 9/12/2024
22:15
Belgrano Belgrano
2.65
X
3.10
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
2.71

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Belgrano x Estudiantes LP:

🔮 Estudiantes LP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estudiantes LP, you can win up to $1355.00!

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The main points for the tip for Belgrano x Estudiantes LP:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Belgrano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Estudiantes LP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Estudiantes LP, Belgrano scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Belgrano conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Estudiantes LP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Estudiantes LP has not lost any of them.
👉 Belgrano has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Estudiantes LP.

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Summary

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Analysis from Belgrano x Estudiantes LP for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 9 of December

🏟️ Belgrano X Estudiantes LP – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 9 of December, 2024 – 22:15
🔵 Belgrano – Winning probability: 29.22% | Fair line: 3.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.47% | Fair line: 3.93
🔴 Estudiantes LP – Winning probability: 45.31% | Fair line: 2.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Belgrano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Belgrano x Estudiantes LP right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1234813 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Belgrano x Estudiantes LP

Is it a good idea to bet on Belgrano?

🔵 Belgrano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $478.50
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$231.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$225.00.

Should you bet on Estudiantes LP?

🔴 Estudiantes LP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $769.50;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$219.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Belgrano x Estudiantes LP

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Belgrano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Belgrano x Estudiantes LP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Belgrano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Belgrano. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Belgrano x Estudiantes LP

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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