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Home » Predictions » Others » Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba Betting tips for November 12 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Tuesday, 12 November 2024, 00h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Belgrano Belgrano
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
ODD: @3.02 Don't miss this prediction!

Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba Betting tips for November 12 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba, Tuesday, 12/11/2024
📅 12/11/2024
00:00
Belgrano Belgrano
2.26
X
3.02
Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
3.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1510.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Belgrano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Instituto AC Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Instituto AC Cordoba conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 12 of November

🏟️ Belgrano X Instituto AC Cordoba – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 12 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Belgrano – Winning probability: 42.53% | Fair line: 2.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.52% | Fair line: 2.74
🔴 Instituto AC Cordoba – Winning probability: 20.95% | Fair line: 4.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Belgrano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1220160 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba

Is it worth betting on Belgrano?

🔵 Belgrano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $541.80;
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$28.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $747.40
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$117.40.

Is betting on Instituto AC Cordoba worth it?

🔴 Instituto AC Cordoba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$317.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Belgrano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Belgrano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Belgrano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Instituto AC Cordoba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Belgrano x Instituto AC Cordoba

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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