Belgrano x Platense Betting tips for October 19 in Argentina Liga Profesional
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19/10/2024 20:00 |
Belgrano 2.15 |
X 2.80 |
Platense 3.73 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Belgrano x Platense:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1400.00!
Important information for your tip for Belgrano x Platense: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Belgrano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. |
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Analysis from Belgrano x Platense for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 19 of October
๐๏ธ Belgrano X Platense – Argentina Liga Profesional |
When the best bet on Belgrano x Platense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203916 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Belgrano x Platense
Should you bet on Belgrano?
๐ต Belgrano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $448.50
- And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$161.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $702.00
- And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$92.00.
Is betting on Platense worth it?
๐ด Platense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $600.60
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$179.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Belgrano x Platense
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Belgrano
โฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Belgrano x Platense
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Belgrano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Belgrano.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Belgrano.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Belgrano x Platense
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.