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Home » Predictions » Others » Benevento x Audace Cerignola Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie C Group C
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie C Group C
Benevento Benevento
PREDICTION Benevento wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Benevento x Audace Cerignola Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Benevento x Audace Cerignola, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Benevento Benevento
1.70
X
3.50
Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola
4.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Benevento x Audace Cerignola:

🔮 Benevento wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benevento, you can win up to $850.00!

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The main points for the tip for Benevento x Audace Cerignola:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Benevento in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $44.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Audace Cerignola in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Benevento scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Audace Cerignola matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Benevento x Audace Cerignola for the Italy Serie C Group C – 30 of November

🏟️ Benevento X Audace Cerignola – Italy Serie C Group C
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Benevento – Winning probability: 68.67% | Fair line: 1.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.40% | Fair line: 4.47
🔴 Audace Cerignola – Winning probability: 8.94% | Fair line: 11.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Benevento
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Benevento and Audace Cerignola.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Benevento x Audace Cerignola

Should you bet on Benevento?

🔵 Benevento: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$173.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $550.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.00.

Is betting on Audace Cerignola worth it?

🔴 Audace Cerignola: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $306.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$604.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Benevento x Audace Cerignola

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Benevento
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benevento x Audace Cerignola

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Benevento, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Benevento.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benevento x Audace Cerignola

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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