Benevento x Crotone Betting tips for January 5 in Italy Serie C Group C
| 📅 5/1/2026 19:30 |
 Benevento1.62 |
X 3.40 |
Crotone  4.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Benevento x Crotone:
🔮 Benevento wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benevento, you can win up to $810.00!
The main points for the tip for Benevento x Crotone:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Benevento in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crotone in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Benevento scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Crotone, Benevento scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Benevento matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Crotone conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Benevento conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Crotone.
👉 Benevento is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Benevento has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Crotone playing at home.
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Analysis from Benevento x Crotone for the Italy Serie C Group C – 5 of January
🏟️ Benevento X Crotone – Italy Serie C Group C
📅 5 of January, 2026 – 19:30
🔵 Benevento – Winning probability: 66.94% | Fair line: 1.49
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.47% | Fair line: 4.26
🔴 Crotone – Winning probability: 9.59% | Fair line: 10.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Benevento
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
Tips for the 1×2 market for Benevento x Crotone
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Benevento x Crotone right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1457948 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is it a good idea to bet on Benevento?
🔵 Benevento: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 670 times – profiting $415.40;
- And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$85.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $552.00;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.
Is betting on Crotone worth it?
🔴 Crotone: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $380.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Benevento x Crotone
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Benevento
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benevento x Crotone
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Benevento and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Benevento.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benevento x Crotone
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
