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Home » Predictions » Others » Benfica x Braga Betting tips for January 8 in Portugal League Cup
Wednesday, 08 January 2025, 19h45 Portugal League Cup
Benfica Benfica
PREDICTION Benfica wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Braga Braga
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Benfica x Braga Betting tips for January 8 in Portugal League Cup

Our betting tip for Benfica x Braga, Wednesday, 8/1/2025
📅 8/1/2025
19:45
Benfica Benfica
1.50
X
4.30
Braga Braga
5.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Benfica x Braga:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Benfica x Braga:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-147.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $676.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Braga, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Benfica x Braga, with Benfica as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Benfica conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Braga.

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Summary

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Analysis from Benfica x Braga for the Portugal League Cup – 8 of January

🏟️ Benfica X Braga – Portugal League Cup
📅 8 of January, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Benfica – Winning probability: 84.22% | Fair line: 1.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.13% | Fair line: 12.31
🔴 Braga – Winning probability: 7.65% | Fair line: 13.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Benfica and Braga.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243711 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Benfica x Braga

Is it a good idea to bet on Benfica?

🔵 Benfica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $264.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$656.00.

Is betting on Braga worth it?

🔴 Braga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $346.40;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$573.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica x Braga

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica x Braga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Benfica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Benfica.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica x Braga

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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