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Home » Predictions » Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19 Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal U19 League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal U19 League
Benfica U19 Benfica U19
PREDICTION Benfica U19 wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
Casa Pia AC U19 Casa Pia AC U19
ODD: @1.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19 Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal U19 League

Our betting tip for Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Benfica U19 Benfica U19
1.28
X
5.00
Casa Pia AC U19 Casa Pia AC U19
7.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19:

🔮 Benfica U19 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica U19, you can win up to $640.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $230.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia AC U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Benfica U19 scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Casa Pia AC U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Casa Pia AC U19, Benfica U19 scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Casa Pia AC U19 matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Benfica U19 is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Casa Pia AC U19 has not lost any of them.
👉 Benfica U19 has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Casa Pia AC U19.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19 for the Portugal U19 League – 30 of November

🏟️ Benfica U19 X Casa Pia AC U19 – Portugal U19 League
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Benfica U19 – Winning probability: 87.18% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.52% | Fair line: 9.51
🔴 Casa Pia AC U19 – Winning probability: 2.30% | Fair line: 43.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Benfica U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19

Is it a good idea to bet on Benfica U19?

🔵 Benfica U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – profiting $243.60;
  • And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$113.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $440.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Casa Pia AC U19?

🔴 Casa Pia AC U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $130.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$850.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Benfica U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Benfica U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Benfica U19.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica U19 x Casa Pia AC U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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