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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Berkhamsted x St Ives Town Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Southern Premier League Central
Berkhamsted Berkhamsted
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 45% 1 X 2
St Ives Town St Ives Town
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Berkhamsted x St Ives Town Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for Berkhamsted x St Ives Town, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Berkhamsted Berkhamsted
2.70
X
3.60
St Ives Town St Ives Town
2.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Berkhamsted x St Ives Town:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Berkhamsted x St Ives Town:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Berkhamsted in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on St Ives Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Berkhamsted conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Berkhamsted x St Ives Town

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Summary

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Analysis from Berkhamsted x St Ives Town for the England Southern Premier League Central – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Berkhamsted X St Ives Town – England Southern Premier League Central
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Berkhamsted – Winning probability: 26.25% | Fair line: 3.81
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.61% | Fair line: 3.5
๐Ÿ”ด St Ives Town – Winning probability: 45.14% | Fair line: 2.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Berkhamsted
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Berkhamsted x St Ives Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Berkhamsted x St Ives Town

Is betting on Berkhamsted worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Berkhamsted: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $442.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$298.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $754.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$44.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on St Ives Town?

๐Ÿ”ด St Ives Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $495.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$55.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Berkhamsted x St Ives Town

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Berkhamsted
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Berkhamsted x St Ives Town

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Berkhamsted and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Berkhamsted.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Berkhamsted.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Berkhamsted x St Ives Town

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves