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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik Betting tips for November 24 in Bulgaria First League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Bulgaria First League
Beroe Beroe
PREDICTION Beroe wins Probability 15% 1 X 2
FC Hebar Pazardzhik FC Hebar Pazardzhik
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik Betting tips for November 24 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
15:30
Beroe Beroe
1.95
X
3.20
FC Hebar Pazardzhik FC Hebar Pazardzhik
3.72

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Beroe wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Beroe, you can win up to $975.00!

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Important information for your tip for Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Beroe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $370.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Hebar Pazardzhik in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-83.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Beroe conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against FC Hebar Pazardzhik.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik for the Bulgaria First League – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Beroe X FC Hebar Pazardzhik – Bulgaria First League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 15:30
๐Ÿ”ต Beroe – Winning probability: 57.25% | Fair line: 1.75
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.94% | Fair line: 3.71
๐Ÿ”ด FC Hebar Pazardzhik – Winning probability: 15.80% | Fair line: 6.33
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Beroe
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Should you bet on Beroe?

๐Ÿ”ต Beroe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $541.50;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$111.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $594.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$136.00.

Should you bet on FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Hebar Pazardzhik: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $435.20;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$404.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Beroe
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Beroe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Beroe.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Beroe x FC Hebar Pazardzhik

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves