Besiktas x Goztepe Betting tips for November 24 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Besiktas x Goztepe, Sunday, 24/11/2024

📅 24/11/2024 16:00

Besiktas 1.50

X 4.33

Goztepe 5.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Besiktas x Goztepe:

🔮 Besiktas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Besiktas, you can win up to $750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Besiktas x Goztepe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Besiktas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-37.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Goztepe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Besiktas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Goztepe conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Besiktas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Goztepe playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Goztepe as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Besiktas x Goztepe for the Turkey Super Lig – 24 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Besiktas and Goztepe.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226284 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Besiktas x Goztepe

Should you bet on Besiktas?

🔵 Besiktas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $395.00
• And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$185.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $432.90;
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.10.

Is betting on Goztepe worth it?

🔴 Goztepe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $311.50;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$618.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Besiktas x Goztepe

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Besiktas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Besiktas x Goztepe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Besiktas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Besiktas.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Besiktas x Goztepe

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.