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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Biggleswade Town x Oxford City Betting tips for January 7 in England FA Trophy
Tuesday, 07 January 2025, 19h45 England FA Trophy
Biggleswade Town Biggleswade Town
PREDICTION No tip
Oxford City Oxford City
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Biggleswade Town x Oxford City Betting tips for January 7 in England FA Trophy

Our betting tip for Biggleswade Town x Oxford City, Tuesday, 7/1/2025
πŸ“… 7/1/2025
19:45
Biggleswade Town Biggleswade Town
4.33
X
4.20
Oxford City Oxford City
1.61

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Biggleswade Town x Oxford City:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Biggleswade Town x Oxford City

Important information for your tip for Biggleswade Town x Oxford City:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Biggleswade Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Oxford City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Biggleswade Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Oxford City scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Biggleswade Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Oxford City conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Biggleswade Town x Oxford City for the England FA Trophy – 7 of January

🏟️ Biggleswade Town X Oxford City – England FA Trophy
πŸ“… 7 of January, 2025 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Biggleswade Town – Winning probability: 29.08% | Fair line: 3.44
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.97% | Fair line: 6.26
πŸ”΄ Oxford City – Winning probability: 54.96% | Fair line: 1.82
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Biggleswade Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Biggleswade Town x Oxford City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243026 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Biggleswade Town x Oxford City

Is it worth betting on Biggleswade Town?

πŸ”΅ Biggleswade Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $965.70
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$255.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $512.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$328.00.

Should you bet on Oxford City?

πŸ”΄ Oxford City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $335.50
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$114.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Biggleswade Town x Oxford City

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Biggleswade Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Biggleswade Town x Oxford City

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Biggleswade Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Biggleswade Town.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Biggleswade Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Biggleswade Town x Oxford City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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