Birkirkara x Mosta FC Betting tips for November 29 in Malta Premier League
| 📅 29/11/2024 17:00 |
 Birkirkara1.57 |
X 3.70 |
Mosta FC  5.11 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Birkirkara x Mosta FC:
🔮 Birkirkara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Birkirkara, you can win up to $785.00!
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The main points for the tip for Birkirkara x Mosta FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Birkirkara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $196.0. |
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Analysis from Birkirkara x Mosta FC for the Malta Premier League – 29 of November
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🏟️ Birkirkara X Mosta FC – Malta Premier League |
When the best bet on Birkirkara x Mosta FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Birkirkara x Mosta FC
Should you bet on Birkirkara?
🔵 Birkirkara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $376.20
- And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$36.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$112.00.
Should you bet on Mosta FC?
🔴 Mosta FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $411.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$489.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Birkirkara x Mosta FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Birkirkara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Birkirkara x Mosta FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Birkirkara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Birkirkara.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Birkirkara x Mosta FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
