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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports Betting tips for November 25 in England National League North
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League North
Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans
PREDICTION No tip
Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports
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Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports Betting tips for November 25 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans
1.93
X
3.42
Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports
3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports

Some important points for the tip for Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Blyth Spartans in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Peterborough Sports in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $66.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Blyth Spartans conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports

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Summary

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Analysis from Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports for the England National League North – 25 of November

🏟️ Blyth Spartans X Peterborough Sports – England National League North
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Blyth Spartans – Winning probability: 50.30% | Fair line: 1.99
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.19% | Fair line: 3.31
πŸ”΄ Peterborough Sports – Winning probability: 19.52% | Fair line: 5.12
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Blyth Spartans
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports

Is it worth betting on Blyth Spartans?

πŸ”΅ Blyth Spartans: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $465.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$35.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $726.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$26.00.

Is betting on Peterborough Sports worth it?

πŸ”΄ Peterborough Sports: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$320.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Blyth Spartans
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Blyth Spartans and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Blyth Spartans.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Blyth Spartans.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Blyth Spartans x Peterborough Sports

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves