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Home » Predictions » Others » Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula Betting tips for January 31 in Israel Leumit Liga
Friday, 31 January 2025, 13h00 Israel Leumit Liga
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
PREDICTION Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
ODD: @1.43 Don't miss this prediction!

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula Betting tips for January 31 in Israel Leumit Liga

Our betting tip for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula, Friday, 31/1/2025
📅 31/1/2025
13:00
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
1.43
X
4.20
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
5.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula:

🔮 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv, you can win up to $715.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-193.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Afula in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Hapoel Afula, Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula, with Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hapoel Afula conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Hapoel Afula playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Hapoel Afula as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula for the Israel Leumit Liga – 31 of January

🏟️ Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv X Hapoel Afula – Israel Leumit Liga
📅 31 of January, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv – Winning probability: 77.51% | Fair line: 1.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.39% | Fair line: 6.5
🔴 Hapoel Afula – Winning probability: 7.11% | Fair line: 14.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula

Is betting on Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv worth it?

🔵 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $335.40;
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$115.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is it worth betting on Hapoel Afula?

🔴 Hapoel Afula: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $332.50;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$597.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Hapoel Afula

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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