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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Boavista RJ Boavista RJ
PREDICTION No tip
Madureira RJ Madureira RJ
Don't miss this prediction!

Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ, Thursday, 30/1/2025
πŸ“… 30/1/2025
21:30
Boavista RJ Boavista RJ
1.95
X
3.20
Madureira RJ Madureira RJ
3.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ

Some important points for the tip for Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boavista RJ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Madureira RJ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Boavista RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Madureira RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Boavista RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Madureira RJ.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 30 of January

🏟️ Boavista RJ X Madureira RJ – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
πŸ“… 30 of January, 2025 – 21:30
πŸ”΅ Boavista RJ – Winning probability: 58.17% | Fair line: 1.72
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.99% | Fair line: 3.85
πŸ”΄ Madureira RJ – Winning probability: 15.84% | Fair line: 6.31
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Boavista RJ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1254175 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ

Should you bet on Boavista RJ?

πŸ”΅ Boavista RJ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
  • And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$131.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$168.00.

Is betting on Madureira RJ worth it?

πŸ”΄ Madureira RJ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $424.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$416.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Boavista RJ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Boavista RJ and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Boavista RJ.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: 0.5 Madureira RJ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boavista RJ x Madureira RJ

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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