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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP Betting tips for October 24 in Argentina Cup
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 00h10 Argentina Cup
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
PREDICTION Gimnasia LP Wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Gimnasia LP Gimnasia LP
ODD: @4.19 Don't miss this prediction!

Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP Betting tips for October 24 in Argentina Cup

Our betting tip for Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP, Thursday, 24/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 24/10/2024
00:10
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
1.85
X
3.20
Gimnasia LP Gimnasia LP
4.19

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Gimnasia LP wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gimnasia LP, you can win up to $2095.00!

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The main points for the tip for Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $86.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia LP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Boca Juniors matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Gimnasia LP matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Gimnasia LP has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP for the Argentina Cup – 24 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Boca Juniors X Gimnasia LP – Argentina Cup
๐Ÿ“… 24 of October, 2024 – 00:10
๐Ÿ”ต Boca Juniors – Winning probability: 38.40% | Fair line: 2.6
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.13% | Fair line: 7.62
๐Ÿ”ด Gimnasia LP – Winning probability: 48.47% | Fair line: 2.06
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Boca Juniors
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Boca Juniors and Gimnasia LP.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP

Is betting on Boca Juniors worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Boca Juniors: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $323.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$297.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $286.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$584.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gimnasia LP?

๐Ÿ”ด Gimnasia LP: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $1531.20;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$1011.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Boca Juniors
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Boca Juniors, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Boca Juniors. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boca Juniors x Gimnasia LP

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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