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Home » Predictions » Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe Betting tips for November 21 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Thursday, 21 November 2024, 00h30 Argentina Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
PREDICTION Boca Juniors wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
ODD: @1.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe Betting tips for November 21 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe, Thursday, 21/11/2024
📅 21/11/2024
00:30
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
1.74
X
3.50
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
4.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe:

🔮 Boca Juniors wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Boca Juniors, you can win up to $870.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Boca Juniors scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Union Santa Fe, Boca Juniors scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Boca Juniors conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Union Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe:

Analysis from Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 21 of November

🏟️ Boca Juniors X Union Santa Fe – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 21 of November, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Boca Juniors – Winning probability: 71.29% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.00% | Fair line: 5.26
🔴 Union Santa Fe – Winning probability: 9.70% | Fair line: 10.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Boca Juniors
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1223927 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe

Is betting on Boca Juniors worth it?

🔵 Boca Juniors: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $525.40;
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$235.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is betting on Union Santa Fe worth it?

🔴 Union Santa Fe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$540.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Boca Juniors
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Boca Juniors and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Boca Juniors.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Union Santa Fe.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boca Juniors x Union Santa Fe

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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