Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield Betting tips for November 28 in Argentina Cup

Our betting tip for Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield, Thursday, 28/11/2024

📅 28/11/2024 00:10

Boca Juniors 2.59

X 3.05

Velez Sarsfield 2.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield:

🔮 Boca Juniors wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Boca Juniors, you can win up to $1295.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $74.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Boca Juniors scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Velez Sarsfield matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield, with Boca Juniors as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Boca Juniors received red cards as the home team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against Velez Sarsfield. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Velez Sarsfield has not lost any of them. 👉 Boca Juniors has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Velez Sarsfield playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield for the Argentina Cup – 28 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228982 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield

Is it a good idea to bet on Boca Juniors?

🔵 Boca Juniors: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $795.00
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$295.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $328.00
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$512.00.

Is betting on Velez Sarsfield worth it?

🔴 Velez Sarsfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $630.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Boca Juniors
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Boca Juniors, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Boca Juniors.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Velez Sarsfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boca Juniors x Velez Sarsfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.