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Home » Predictions » Others » Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown Betting tips for November 29 in Cambodia Premier League
Friday, 29 November 2024, 11h00 Cambodia Premier League
Boeung Ket FC Boeung Ket FC
PREDICTION Phnom Penh Crown Wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Phnom Penh Crown Phnom Penh Crown
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown Betting tips for November 29 in Cambodia Premier League

Our betting tip for Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
11:00
Boeung Ket FC Boeung Ket FC
4.65
X
5.45
Phnom Penh Crown Phnom Penh Crown
1.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown:

🔮 Phnom Penh Crown wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Phnom Penh Crown, you can win up to $700.00!

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The main points for the tip for Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Boeung Ket FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-141.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Phnom Penh Crown in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-127.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Phnom Penh Crown scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Phnom Penh Crown matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Boeung Ket FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Phnom Penh Crown.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Phnom Penh Crown has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown for the Cambodia Premier League – 29 of November

🏟️ Boeung Ket FC X Phnom Penh Crown – Cambodia Premier League
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Boeung Ket FC – Winning probability: 5.24% | Fair line: 19.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.22% | Fair line: 9.78
🔴 Phnom Penh Crown – Winning probability: 84.54% | Fair line: 1.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Boeung Ket FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown

Is it a good idea to bet on Boeung Ket FC?

🔵 Boeung Ket FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $182.50
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$767.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $445.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$455.00.

Should you bet on Phnom Penh Crown?

🔴 Phnom Penh Crown: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $340.00;
  • And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$190.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Boeung Ket FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Boeung Ket FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Boeung Ket FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Boeung Ket FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boeung Ket FC x Phnom Penh Crown

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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